Hot on the agenda in recent times surrounding the World Leaders’ convention has been whether there is a tenable solution Governments can put in place to have global tax regulations that stop companies avoiding tax. People are asking whether there can be such a thing on a world scale, as such an achievement would be unprecedented in terms of global economics. As anyone who knows the history of attempted international coalescences would know, this is a very tricky situation to administer - particularly given the vast differences in the countries that would be involved in this kind of globalised tax system. How on earth could we ever get so many different nations (with frequently changing Governments) to agree on, and proficiently oversee, such a complex system? And even if we could, is it right to revert to potentially despotic measures to get places like Switzerland, Cyprus, Luxembourg and Ireland to conform, when such tax havens have self-governing national autonomy, and the good economies and high employment as a result of low income tax? Given the relationship between taxpaying and the positive impact on developing countries that need to be lifted out of the mire, I'm happy to assume that these measures are to be supported - so how, then, can such a complex and intractable system be achieved?
A bit of
general advice, whenever you want to find the best solution, the first thing to
do is identify the problem that needs solving, and make sure that that is the
problem you are actually solving. The problem is twofold; firstly, that the
whereabouts of a company's profits in a global economy is hard to keep a track
of; and secondly, that it is often hard for outside authorities to identify
what a company's profits amount to. From what I can gather from every time an
MP speaks on this issue, their central focus is on refining the system to scour
the market for companies' unpaid taxes and surreptitious distortions of the
balance books. I think this is a
misjudged method of tackling the problem - not because it is the wrong thing to
do, but because in the first place such an endeavour is probably going to end
up being as costly as the tax they'd hope to recover; and in the second place I
doubt whether a body of world authorities would have the competence (and
synergy of thought) to achieve their aims.
And to add weight to the problem, tax avoiding companies hire economists
that can show them how to find loopholes in Governments' tax policies, so these
companies are adept at staying one step ahead of the authorities (these
economists are often ex-treasury consultants who helped advise on the original
policies, and are ideally equipped to understand profits and business practices
a lot better than politicians).
So
what's the best solution? My view is, if
the problem is to do with how hard it is to keep track of the whereabouts of a
company's profits, and how difficult it is to identify what a company's profits
amount to, the best thing to do is to ditch corporation tax altogether. Here's why.
It's a great myth that corporations pay tax. Corporations don't pay tax
- only individuals pay tax. The cost of
corporation tax is borne by customers (with increased prices of goods or
services), employees (with decreased wages) or shareholders (with lower
dividends). Corporations pay tax only in
the sense that the cheque or debit is written in the name of the company. If
the cost of taxes ultimately falls on individuals, then it makes sense to have
tax policies that are only focused on individuals, and scrap all the payments
in the name of corporations.
This to
me is an obvious solution to the aforementioned problems, because unlike
profits in a global economy, the locations of personal incomes and expenditure
are relatively transparent, so the Government might as well focus predominantly
on taxing dividend income (shareholder profits), earnings (through income tax)
and sales (through consumption tax). The
Government already does this anyway, but to a much less judicious level due to
the corporate tax, so it wouldn’t be too hard or too costly to administer. In actual fact, as far as Government income
is concerned, taxing earnings and taxing consumption are more or less
interchangeable; you can tax the money as it is being earned or you can tax it
as it is being spent.
The
obvious question is; if this idea is as good as I’ve made it sound, why don’t
the Government follow the model and recover billions of pounds of tax that’s
currently being avoided? I’ll wager that
the answer is twofold. In the first
place, such a policy is risky – not because it is a bad policy, but because a
lot of the electorate have got the wrong idea about its demerits, which means
the Government considers it a potential vote loser. When you hear the rhetoric of those sceptical
about ditching corporation tax, they usually say something along the lines of
this;
Wouldn't the danger of scrapping
corporation tax be that the companies (shareholders) would simply guard against
their losses by increasing prices and lowering wages, meaning that the workers
and consumers are getting penalised while the wealthier shareholders are hardly
affected because they passed all the tax on to workers and consumers?
What
they mean is, if corporation tax is ditched and individuals associated with the
companies pay more tax through the extra taxing of income and sales, then that
extra expenditure will come from the reduction in staff wages and in increased
prices on goods as shareholders won't want the losses to come from their
dividends. Here’s what they are missing.
Except where a company enjoys a monopoly (which is rare in this day and
age), shareholders of any company cannot decide what prices to charge for their
goods or services, nor can they decide their labour rate either. These prices
are determined by supply and demand of the goods, services and labour concerned,
not by shareholders. Further, if
corporation tax is abolished, salaries and dividends will be higher not lower,
and prices will be lower (with consumption being higher). The Government can automatically recoup what
it has lost from corporation tax in extra income tax and sales tax without
having to radically change the system. Whether they recoup less, more or the
same depends on whether personal income, tax rates and VAT are higher or lower
than corporation tax rates, and on the effect of ditching corporate tax on
aggregate employment and consumption.
A second
reason why the Government may be furtive about this policy is that many low
earning consumers may think they are going to be hit hardest. They have it in their heads that if
corporation tax is abolished then individuals associated with the company
(primarily customers) are going to pay more to make up for what the Government
is now not getting, which means more on consumption tax. They are worried about
average earning Joe who ends up paying more for his goods, because relatively
speaking average Joe is getting hit harder than richer people on this
consumption tax because a few pounds extra on goods prices for him has a
greater effect than on the wealthiest who will hardly notice.
Not only
do they fail to realise that if the lost tax is transferred to earning and
consumption then the rich will get hit hardest (because they earn and consume
more), they also fail to realise how switching tax within a corporation to
individuals affects the situation. Let’s
use a simple illustration to show what happens.
Suppose the Government gets £1 million from a corporation in corporation
tax. If the Government didn’t get it, either someone else would get that £1
million, or several other people would get a share of it. For simplicity,
suppose the £1 million would all go to a single shareholder (let’s call him
Bob) in dividends. If the Government taxes Bob’s dividend at 45%, then the
Government has £450,000, even without changing tax rates. Now the Government
can increase taxes on dividends to make up the £550,000 it has lost. Bob is now no worse off than when there were
corporation taxes and lower taxes on dividends, and the Government is no worse
off because it still gets its £1 million.
But the world is altogether better off because corporate taxes being
more avoidable have higher deadweight costs for the Government than individual
income taxes. That is to say, they dampen economic activity and waste resources
on unproductive avoidance efforts (usually in the form of accountants).
The
third and final reason why I think the Government won’t ditch corporation tax
is a pretty ugly reason, but undoubtedly true, at least to a great degree. The Government is primarily concerned with
how it can buy votes – and many of the people that bear the cost of corporation
tax are foreigners who have no power to vote, so they are ideal people on whom
to impose a cost. You can see from the
reaction to non-UK citizens using our NHS how pervasive this national prejudice
really is. Once we jump these three
Government hurdles, there is no logical reason why we can’t see the abolition
of corporation tax.
I said
earlier that taxing income and taxing consumption is pretty interchangeable, so
which is preferable as a primary source of Government income? Well given that higher earners spend
proportionally less of their income on consumption, the ratio of tax obligation
diminishes as wealth grows, so it is important that higher earners still pay
proportionally more tax on their earnings, and low earners are taxed at a much
lower rate (in both cases the Government recoups these tax losses when people
spend their money on consumption – but this kind of economy is much more mobile
and faster growing than a tax system that discourages earning and
spending).
The
general rule of thumb with taxation is that when the Government taxes something
it results in less of it. For example,
higher tax on savings discourages saving; higher tax on earnings discourages
work, and higher tax on consumption discourages spending. That’s why I favour taxing consumption over
earnings, because consumption tax yields higher employment and formation of
capital, which increases a nation’s economic growth. This has a positive corollary effect; if when
the Government taxes something it results in less of it, then higher taxes on
the things we want less of (or things that we like but know are bad for us)
will bring about a reduction of those things.
So I’m all for much higher tax on cigarettes, alcohol, gambling, pollution and use of natural resources that degrade the environment (I
draw a distinction here between taxes related to genuine degradation of the
environment, which are mostly progressive, and green taxes, which are mostly
regressive and unjustified – that’s another future Blog post)
The
upshot, though, is it is possible to have a much better tax system that closes
the loopholes being exploited in tax avoidance – and this will put an end to
the deadweight losses associated with corporation tax, and it will help spread
the money to developing countries in which many of these multinational
companies make so much of their money.
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