The Corbyn phenomenon and
Farage phenomenon in Britain ,
the Sanders phenomenon and the Trump phenomenon in the USA , the Le Pen phenomenon in France , the Wilders phenomenon in the Netherlands , and the Tsipras phenomenon in Greece are all
very different in various ways. But they have a couple of notable things in
common.
Firstly, they constitute a
movement of people based on the personality, character and views of a single
leader who titillates them ideologically and publically vocalises the beliefs
they have. And secondly, they are groups of people, often the least well
educated in society (though there are, of course, plenty of exceptions), that
feel let down by other politicians’ fabrications, past and present.
These movements consist
predominantly of people who’ve fallen for the half-truths and falsehoods that
politicians have told them, and the misjudged promises they’ve made, about how
our citizens will be well off in terms of jobs, education and well-being.
The mass disappointment
that turns people onto the coattails of the figureheads above is based largely
on the ubiquitous embellishments of economics that fail to account for how
global trade and competition penalises uncompetitive domestic industries, and
that domestically we were never going to continue to have the lion's share on
the manufacturing we once had.
Because the reality is, a
large proportion of the lost domestic industry that's lamented, the declining
social mobility, the high levels of youth unemployment in some parts and the
widening levels of income inequality are all the result of masses of people in
the developing nations starting to prosper by becoming more involved in the
global market.
Just like with science,
economics goes through its own Kuhnian paradigm shifts as well. People are
quite used to seeing how new technology changes the labour market landscape,
and they embrace it because they see the tangible benefits of having better
technological sophistication, and also that the economic pie isn't fixed,
meaning better technology doesn't
mean fewer jobs.
What they don't see
anything like as well, hence the misguided hope they place in the aforementioned
political icons, is that things like the lost domestic industry and the
widening levels of income inequality are a natural process of people in poorer
countries becoming better off through trade - they are not things that our domestic
politicians can do very much about, and nor should they.
As I've mentioned before in this blog, the
benefits of global trade are rather similar to the innovations of new
technology in that on the whole everyone is being made better off by it.
Consequently, then, the Corbyns,
the Trumps and the Le Pens of this world find themselves being hailed as the
antidote to the laments and so-called injustices of large groups that feel left
behind and not listened to by the establishment, when in reality what they want
done for them, and what is promised will be done for them by these leaders, either
cannot be done, or when it can, would actually make them far worse off than
they currently are.