Greetings!! Holidaying in America , and
ingratiating myself with the locals, as you do, there is one belief that
literally every American I've spoken with about this has. Both Trump supporters
and Trump haters alike all seem unified on one basic consensus: that America badly
needs to get back all those manufacturing jobs it has lost to foreigners.
Allowing for the
proportion of the American population that knows why this is an ill-conceived
idea - and America is more like a continent than a country, lest we forget - it
could be that as many as 98% of the population actually believes this erroneous
notion. This isn't unique to the USA , of course - you'd probably
find similar ratios in most European countries too.
To see why the notion is
wrong, you have to understand why it's so much better for Americans that
foreign competition enables them to buy their local goods and services cheaper
than if they were produced domestically. For simplicity, suppose you are an
American who only eats bangers and mash - and you get all your potatoes from Tom
the greengrocer, and all your sausages from Fred the butcher.
Suppose that you buy your
potatoes for $2 a pound (it is pounds and ounces in America , not kilos), and your
sausages for $5 a pound every week. On a typical weekly shop you buy 30 pounds
of sausages and 50 pounds of potatoes.
Then one day you find out
about Jack the butcher in the next street, who is selling the same quality
sausages for $4 a pound, and because he has a bigger store he also sells
potatoes for $1.50 a pound. Suppose, again for simplicity, that in the first 26
weeks of the year you had been shopping with Tom and Fred, and then at the end
of week 26 you find out about Jack, and you shop with him for the remaining 26
weeks of the year.
I'm sure even an 8th
grader could understand why you are now better off on the deal, as is Jack of
course (too often people forget about the benefits to Jack as well). The maths
will show you by how much better off you actually are:
Weeks 1-26 shopping with Tom and Fred - total
expenditure: $6500 ($100 of potatoes
x 26 and $150 of sausages x 26)
Weeks 27-52 shopping with Jack - total expenditure: $5070 ($75 of potatoes x 26 and $120 of sausages x
26)
Total saving by shopping with Jack: $1430
Your saving money by
shopping with more efficient Jack has no important logical difference to
shopping with more efficient foreign competitors - in both cases there are significant
consumer (and producer) benefits.
It's astonishing that
almost all people in the world's most developed nations get this simple piece
of logic and fact-finding bang wrong! Domestic producers of steel, aluminium,
glass, plastic and timber are far outnumbered by the number of domestic
citizens who are consumers, because except for perhaps Amish-type sects,
everybody in America is a consumer on an international level.
And yet it seems the vast
majority of people in the developed world desire the crafting of policies that
benefit a small minority of the population at the expense of the rest of the
population. When will people learn what's good for them?