In my view, the author and
computer scientist Ray Kurzweil is one of the most interesting people around. Kurzweil
is a bold futurist who has every confidence in the law of accelerating returns,
a phenomenon that predicts a continual exponential increase in technologies in
ways that will keep improving and enhancing human well-being. There is plenty of
evidence to suggest he is likely to be right, although for various reasons,
many of which are unpredictable, apparent exponential growth patterns can quite
easily level out, and probably will in some areas of technology.
On a more specific note, in
his book The Singularity Is Near, Kurzweil
has made a very interesting prediction: that by the year 2040 we will be able
to build the equivalent of human intelligence by scanning the brain from the
inside using nanobots. Once we know the precise physical structure and
connectivity information, Kurzweil says we will be able to produce functional
models of sub-cellular components and synapses and replicate whole brain
regions.
Kurzweil talks of
"uploading" a specific human brain with every mental process intact,
to be instantiated on a "suitably powerful computational substrate". Rather
than an instantaneous scan and conversion to digital form, Kurzweil thinks humans
will most likely experience gradual conversion as portions of their brain are
augmented with neural implants, increasing their proportion of non-biological
intelligence slowly over time. Quite how much time, he's not sure, although he offers
a suggestion of 1016 calculations per second (cps) and 1013
bits of memory, plus the possible additional detail that such uploading
requires, which could be as many as 1019 cps and 1018 bits.
This all sounds
intriguing, but for my mind there is a possible problem that underwrites the
above scenario - it doesn't seem possible to me to replicate the 'you' that you
know as your first person selfhood, and ditto that for any unique human, for
reasons I'll explain.
First, don't
get me wrong, future advancements will astound us in all sorts of ways we
cannot currently imagine, and there probably will be forms of artificial
intelligence that we can interface with at a level similar to the human-human
interface we enjoy. But I personally think that the 'you' and 'me' we each know
to be our own mind is something of such unique complexity and evolutionary
finesse that it will never be able to be precisely reconstituted in any kind of
artificial intelligence. In a nutshell, the 'you' that makes up your first
person selfhood is an utterly unique aggregation of mental machinery that can probably
only be retained in the biological apparatus that you call your brain. I will
explain why with a thought experiment.
Any time AI program
writers try and extend the world of brain cells into the world of transmitter
molecules they would then have to try and simulate hormones. And these, in
turn, depend on genetic instructions which are themselves only partially
programmed and highly adaptable. Simulating the human brain is not just about
replicating the hardware that we see in the form of neurons and synapses, it is
about replicating a lengthy evolutionary process that goes right back to the
origins of biology itself. For example, some of our genes involved in the
development of our cognition (even at the embryonic stage in the womb) are
genes that go right back to the very beginning of all life forms billion of years
ago - and these are genes and hormones that form the substrate of cognition
prior to the point at which neurons and synapses become involved.
Let us
suppose, though, that we overcame all those hurdles and developed the
scientific wherewithal to attempt brain replication in an external agent - a
computer or an android, as Kurzweil suggests. Here’s why I still think your own
‘self’ will remain unique to you. Suppose at this stage we can produce a
short-cutting algorithm that enables us to reduce the human brain atom by atom
and then reconstitute the exact atomic configurations of the original mind,
reproducing the conscious cognition. What would that entail? In the human brain there are 10^11 brain
cells (that's 100 billion), and 10^14 atoms (that’s 100 trillion) in each brain
cell - that makes 100 billion x 100 trillion atoms, which is 10^25 atoms (or 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000).
Now,
suppose we were to replicate the brain at the rate of 1 trillion atoms per
second. Even at that rate it would still take us 317,097 years to reconstitute
the full brain. It sounds like all talk of reducing at the atomic level is too
far, but it shouldn't be – after all, Alzheimer's sufferers experience
degeneration atom by atom, one at a time, and babies are formed in the womb
atom by atom, so evidently these effects do impinge on physical states, they
are just processes of natural development that happen really fast.
It was once
thought that consciousness was a precise configuration of proprietary parts,
and that in assembling a brain from scratch there would come a point at which
the first person perspective of consciousness would be switched on - rather
like assembling a circuit board of cognition that lights up when all the proper
connections are made. But our
aforementioned knowledge of degenerative diseases like Alzheimer’s shows that
this isn’t the case – at least, it shows that atomic reduction can occur bit by
bit and that the cognitive abilities of that mind operate with different
degrees of composite integrity.
The problem I
see (in relation to compromising the ‘self’) is that if in our thought
experiment we reassembled a brain from scratch one trillion atoms at a time we
could not reconstitute the unique first person perspective because the first
person self would at some point become aware of cognita being partially
reconstituted, at which point (and from then on thereafter) a new set of
conceptions and experiences would be taking place during the restoration
process. So the simulated ‘you’ being uploaded would at some point begin to
take on thoughts of its own before the real you in its entirety was uploaded -
meaning that a partial you had begun to generate new and unique thoughts.
Ok, let's
speed up the process. Even if you doubt the effects of atomic reduction, and we
instead chose brain cells as our object of replication, and replicated them at
the rate of 1000 per second (a feat that would take unimaginable technological
sophistication), it would still take over 3 years to do the whole brain. In
that 3 years, such an activity is bound to cause the simulated ‘you’ to take on
thoughts of its own before the real you in its entirety was uploaded. However
much we can reduce the execution time - months, weeks, even days, it seems
impossible to replicate the unique 'you' or 'me' that make up the totality of
that first person selfhood, because during the uploading process there surely
will come a point at which the original you and the copied you each start to
develop new and unique first person cognita - cognita, in fact, that is being
caused by the experience of the replication process itself, as well as all the
interference at a neurological level.